Should I do a Draft Recap?

Yeah, why not. Not like I am stupidly busy with life.

Alright we made it through all seven rounds (and the various undrafted signees over the following 48 hours). It was a slog at time but there was some very interesting spots during the three days, especially night one. Let’s just do this point form, shall we? I don’t feel like putting a ton of effort into something that is done in a much more thorough fashion by some websites who go as far as rating EVERY PICK. Yeah I’m not doing that.

  • The most stunning development of the draft, by a country mile, was the Atlanta Falcons and their pick at the #8 spot in the draft. I wondered if they would pick J.J. McCarthy in my final mock draft to back Kirk Cousins up for a season and then see where things are. I was right…the Falcons did draft a quarterback. That quarterback’s name, though, was Michael Penix Jr. People were stunned. Hell, Cousins was stunned. He certainly DID NOT LIKE THAT. This has all the makings of a three-ring circus so we shall see how things progress down in the heart of Georgia.
  • Speaking of stunning, how about Penix being one of the six quarterbacks picked in the first 12 spots of the draft. Incredible. Easily a new record for the draft.
  • Hey, look at me! I got the first four picks absolutely correct…as did I think almost everyone. It was almost a no-brainer as to who the first four selections would be and in what order they would go in.
  • Now, as for the first stretch of the draft I would go with Penix at #8 since I figured he would go much later in the first round. As for bigger stretches, how about Ricky Pearsall at #31, Max Melton at #43 (again with those Falcons) and Ben Sinnott at #53 who I had going sometime after the third round. Yikes.
  • Over 700,000 fans were at this draft. 700,000. I mean it wasn’t 700,000 different people but still. That’s an insane amount of people. And let’s be honest here: other than the people under the structure and close enough to be maybe caught on camera once, is it really that fun an experience? It looks awful to be part of unless you are close enough and feel like you are part of the “action” for lack of a better term. At least it doesn’t cost anything to go there so you could come and go as you please (as far as I know).
  • I perused all three shows on Night One. Gotta say, Nick Saban was a breath of fresh air. Honest insight and gave you info that always seemed to be missing from previous draft broadcasts. NFL Network did their usual solid job. And if you want to know how ESPN did, as soon as I went over to that broadcast, the first thing I saw is Mel Kiper basically yelling right in Booger McFarland’s face. So yeah, I would go 1) ABC 2) NFLN 3) watching people on Twitter bitch and complain about all things draft-related but at least picks weren’t getting tipped early unless you were looking for it 4) ESPN.

Let’s get to the winners and loser of this draft:

Winners

  • As I usually do, I will preface this with the fact that it is really too soon to truly understand the ramifications of this draft. Many pundits have been wrong. No one thought Tom Brady would be what he ended up being after being drafted 199th back in 2000.
  • Da Bears – Caleb Williams was the no-brainer first overall pick. Getting Rome Odunze to pair with him eight picks later was a big pick. Then to pick Tory Taylor in the fourth round was a coup. Overall, a great draft from Ryan Poles.
  • Da Vikings – This seems to be a bit more polarizing. As a friend of mine stated, he just wanted the Vikings to have a plan and stick with it. So if it’s taking J.J. McCarthy, then take J.J. McCarthy and don’t overthink it. Which they did. Then they moved up to get Dallas Turner in one of the best trade-ups of the draft. Including Khyree Jackson as their fourth-round pick means they actually got a lot of value with some of their picks, something many teams can’t say.
  • Philly – Their secondary is going to be something to deal with. Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean were drafted lower than many thought they would be (including myself). And now with Vic Fangio running the defense? Watch out.
  • Indy – They got quite the haul with their 2024 draft. And Adonai Mitchell actually picked around where he was supposed to be picked (if not a little later which makes him a bit of a steal). How about that?

Losers

  • I don’t care what anyone thinks but drafting Michael Penix Jr. at #8 is a terrible choice. I mentioned it above and I am not going to go over it again. There’s a GM overthinking things and it was interesting watching him try to basically justify the pick to Arthur Blank (or at least that’s what it looked like).
  • The Raiders – Now the Raiders, they needed a quarterback. Gardner Minshew and Aidan O’Connell are not the answer unless one of them plays out of his mind this season. So did they trade up? No. They did get Brock Bowers which is a good pick but they need someone to throw him the fucking ball.
  • Buffalo* – I put an asterisk here. When they didn’t trade up to grab Brian Thomas Jr. I thought, OK maybe they aren’t go to draft a receiver. Then they trade with the Chiefs to move down to #32 which is kind of weird. The Chiefs picking Xavier Worthy is so much less of a deal than many made it out to be, it’s laughable. According to some, Worthy is nine Puka Nacuas rolled into one. Get the fuck outta here. The Chiefs reached for Worthy according to almost everyone’s thoughts going into the draft so cut it with the “he’s a sure-fire HOFer with Patrick Mahomes” horseshit. THEN, the Bills trade down AGAIN to get out of the first round altogether. Sure, the Panthers also reached with their receiver pick but still, what was Brandon Beane trying to accomplish? And please, moving up on Day 3 of the draft means very little, admit it. So after all this, what do the Bills do? DRAFT A RECEIVER! Are you kidding me? I mean the guy is hilariously entertaining but trading down twice to do what you could have done the previous night all to move up some of your later picks? Oh yeah, real big brain stuff. Again, get the fuck outta here. Over………thinking. And that kind of thing pushes general managers out the door.

OK I have to calm down. Enough of the draft. I was getting pretty pissed off there at the end. Maybe it’s the residual from the Leafs losing in heartbreaking fashion…again. Being a Leafs fan and a Bills fan I should know the pain is coming. But even though I do, it still sucks. Big time.

Were there other winners and losers at this draft? Sure. I don’t have the time, energy or inkling to even go into that. Not my forte, so I dip my toe in the water and steer clear of the “experts” who do this for a living.

Now a little blurb about what is happening with Rogers and their NHL contract. Remember what I said years ago about it? Let’s step into the way-back machine and take a look, shall we?

My opinion was that Rogers would rue the day they made that deal. Not the cost (although it was a ton) but the length of the deal. Twelve years at the time. Now it took longer than I thought it would (and that’s because Rogers couldn’t do this before now becuase there was no interest) but Rogers is selling off the Monday Night NHL game package to Amazon. Yep, it’s only the last two years of the twelve-year contract but still, I had a feeling it would happen. I don’t think Rogers is getting the return on investment they desired and that’s obvious with this move. I am guessing they will be much less of a major player when the Canadian rights come up in 2026. Feels good to be right at least some of the time, especially when others don’t quite agree with you. Then again, I live in the middle of a hockey-mad country that just watched the first- or second-most popular team (depending on who you ask) get bounced from the playoffs….OK I’m not going back to that well. It’s done. Over with. Stop it, Bossman.

Soon enough I will get back in the groove of things. Most important games lists. Conference predictions. My (probably shitty) Heisman ballot. I know it’s only May but with the new college football video game coming out soon I am starting to feel it. College football is in the air (kind of). Have a great week everyone!

It’s the Final Mock Draft!

…..the final Mock Draft!

Yep, not kidding. This is it. I’m not going to do like four in a matter of six days or something ridiculous like that. I have a job and a life (sort of) outside of this blog. I also know things may change on the day of the draft (or more like opening day of the draft). Nothing I can do about that. Let the experts deal with it. Between ESPN and the NFL Network there has to be about 70 mock drafts ready to go in the half hour before the draft begins. So without further adieu, let’s get to l’ébauche finale:

First Round

1ChicagoCaleb Williams, QB (USC)
2WashingtonJayden Daniels, QB (LSU)
3New EnglandDrake Maye, QB (North Carolina)
4ArizonaMarvin Harrison Jr., WR (Ohio State)
5LA ChargersMalik Nabers, WR (LSU)
6NY GiantsDallas Turner, EDGE (Alabama)
7TennesseeTerrion Arnold, CB (Alabama)
8AtlantaJ.J. McCarthy, QB (Michigan)
9ChicagoLaiatu Latu, EDGE (UCLA)
10NY JetsJoe Alt, OT (Notre Dame)
11MinnesotaBo Nix, QB (Oregon)
12DenverBrock Bowers, TE (Georgia)
13Las VegasOlu Fashanu, OT (Penn State)
14New OrleansRome Odunze, WR (Washington)
15IndianapolisQuinyon Mitchell, CB (Toledo)
16SeattleTroy Fautanu, G (Washington)
17JacksonvilleTaliese Fuaga, OT (Oregon State)
18CincinnatiJ.C. Latham, OT (Alabama)
19LA RamsKool-Aid McKinstry, CB (Alabama)
20PittsburghByron Murphy II, DT (Texas)
21MiamiJer’Zhan Newton, DT (Illinois)
22PhiladelphiaJared Verse, DE (Florida State)
23MinnesotaChop Robinson, EDGE (Penn State)
24DallasAmarius Mims, OT (Georgia)
25Green BayCooper DeJean, S (Iowa)
26Tampa BayMichael Penix Jr., QB (Washington)
27ArizonaDarius Robinson, EDGE (Minnesota)
28BuffaloBrian Thomas Jr., WR (LSU)
29DetroitJackson Powers-Johnson, G (Oregon)
30BaltimoreGraham Barton, G (Duke)
31San FranciscoTyler Guyton, OT (Oklahoma)
32Kansas CityJordan Morgan, OT (Arizona)

Second Round

33CarolinaXavier Legette, WR (South Carolina)
34New EnglandKingsley Suamataia, OT (BYU)
35ArizonaNate Wiggins, CB (Clemson)
36WashingtonZach Frazier, C (West Virginia)
37LA ChargersT.J. Tampa, CB (Iowa State)
38TennesseePatrick Paul, OT (Houston)
39CarolinaEnnis Rakestraw Jr., CB (Missouri)
40WashingtonTroy Franklin, WR (Oregon)
41Green BayChris Braswell, EDGE (Alabama)
42HoustonRuke Orhorhoro, DT (Clemson)
43AtlantaLadd McConkey, WR (Georgia)
44Las VegasChristian Haynes, G (UConn)
45New OrleansMarshawn Kneeland, EDGE (Western Michigan)
46IndianapolisXavier Worthy, WR (Texas)
47NY GiantsCooper Beebe, G (Kansas State)
48JacksonvilleAdonai Mitchell, WR (Texas)
49CincinnatiT’Vondre Sweat, DT (Texas)
50PhiladelphiaKamari Lassiter, CB (Georgia)
51PittsburghEdgerrin Cooper, LB (Texas A&M)
52LA RamsKamren Kinchens, S (Miami)
53PhiladelphiaRicky Pearsall, WR (Florida)
54ClevelandMichael Hall Jr., DT (Ohio State)
55MiamiKeon Coleman, WR (Florida State)
56DallasTrey Benson, RB (Florida State)
57Tampa BayJa’Lynn Polk, WR (Washington)
58Green BaySedrick Van Pran, C (Georgia)
59HoustonCam Hart, CB (Notre Dame)
60BuffaloKris Jenkins, DT (Michigan)
61DetroitJavon Bullard, CB (Georgia)
62BaltimoreRoman Wilson, WR (Michigan)
63San FranciscoAustin Booker, DE (Kansas)
64Kansas CityBraden Fiske, DT (Florida State)

Third Round

65CarolinaCedric Gray, LB (North Carolina)
66ArizonaPayton Wilson, LB (NC State)
67WashingtonBralen Trice, EDGE (Washington)
68New EnglandJonathan Brooks, RB (Texas)
69LA ChargersJa’Tavion Sanders, TE (Texas)
70NY GiantsCaelan Carson, CB (Wake Forest)
71ArizonaLeonard Taylor III, DT (Miami)
72NY JetsTyler Nubin, S (Minnesota)
73DetroitAdisa Isaac, EDGE (Penn State)
74AtlantaBrandon Dorius, EDGE (Oregon)
75ChicagoChristian Mahogany, G (Boston College)
76DenverDeWayne Carter, DT (Duke)
77Las VegasMike Sainristil, CB (Michigan)
78WashingtonJunior Colson, LB (Michigan)
79AtlantaJustin Egoigbe, DT (Alabama)
80CincinnatiMax Melton, CB (Rutgers)
81SeattleTommy Eichenberg, LB (Ohio State)
82IndianapolisCalen Bullock, S (USC)
83LA RamsSpencer Rattler, QB (South Carolina)
84PittsburghRoger Rosengarten, OT (Washington)
85ClevelandKiran Amedagije, OT (Yale)
86HoustonMalachi Corley, WR (WKU)
87DallasJermaine Burton, WR (Alabama)
88Green BayBlake Fisher, OT (Notre Dame)
89Tampa BayCole Bishop, S (Utah)
90ArizonaZak Zinter, G (Michigan)
91Green BayNehemiah Pritchett, CB (Auburn)
92Tampa BayJavion Cohen, G (Miami)
93BaltimoreJaylen Wright, RB (Tennessee)
94Kansas CityBlake Corum, RB (Michigan)
95San FranciscoElijah Jones, CB (Boston College)
96JacksonvilleKris Abrams-Draine, CB (Missouri)
97CincinnatiJohnny Wilson, WR (Florida State)
98PittsburghJonah Ellliss, LB (Utah)
99LA RamsJalyx Hunt, EDGE (Houston Christian)
100WashingtonJalen McMillan, WR (Washington)

There are some strong opinions out there about this draft (like every draft) so let’s go through a few of them:

  • The Vikings are going to trade up. This is a likely option but I don’t put trades in my mock drafts because I think dreaming up the trade packages would be insane. Saying that, I wouldn’t be surprised if they traded up to #4 or #5 to get J.J. McCarthy.
  • The Cardinals are fielding a lot of trade offers. The top three picks are mostly set even though Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels seem to flip-flop in the second and third spots. The Cards are probably fielding a few offers but not as many as some might think. It will take a lot for them to trade down as they know they would get, arguably, the best overall player of the draft at a position they need.
  • The Giants might be the toughest to figure out in the Top 10. Absolutely. They have all sorts of needs so there are probably 10-12 players on their board that they could conceivably take. I still like Dallas Turner at that spot but Terrion Arnold, Laiatu Latu, Brock Bowers, Quinyon Marshall and, hell, even Bo Nix could be picked at #6 by the Geeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee-Men (done in extreme Chris Berman voice).
  • If Brock Bowers isn’t picked Top 10 he will fall…FAR. I don’t think so. The Broncos, Colts, Bengals and Dolphins might all take a gander at the big man if he is still sitting in the back room after the tenth pick (which I think he will be).

Other than that there are questions that mostly don’t have answers at this point. Like will the Bills make a surprising leap up the draft now that Stefon Diggs has been dealt? Is Michael Penix Jr. poised to have the biggest leap up the draft boards in the past couple months? Will there be actual players involved in any of the trades over the next few days? It’s a crapshoot and not my expertise so I will steer clear of most of those questions (possibly, possibly and probably are my answers).

Reminder that the draft starts tonight at 8:00 and is emanating from Detroit. Moving the draft around has been fun so let’s see what it’s like in the Motor City. As per usual, ESPN and NFL Network will be doing the entire draft…all seven rounds. I have the ESPN draft pick is in ringtone on my phone but I am still debating which network to watch, at least for night one. I have leaned NFL Network in the past but I have done both over the past decade. It’s a game-time decision.

Finally, on the Twitter Machine (fuck you, Elon) I will be live-tweeting at least the first round and am hoping to do ALL SEVEN this year. Can I do it? Who the fuck knows. Around halfway through round five is where things usually go off the rails and I might struggle to keep going at that point. I mean I will but who knows if I will be posting tweets at that point or semi-conscious, staring at the bag of pretzels on my desk and wondering about important questions in life like “Would Nathan Peterman be successful in the CFL?”

Anyway, enjoy the draft, however much you watch of it.

Time for Mock Draft 3.A.0-5

The A stands for April. Or Awesome. Or Asshole. Whatever.

Mock draft time! And it’s three glorious rounds of (probably) incorrect picks. Lovin’ it! Let’s go!

First Round

1ChicagoCaleb Williams, QB (USC)
2WashingtonDrake Maye, QB (North Carolina)
3New EnglandJayden Daniels, QB (LSU)
4ArizonaMarvin Harrison Jr., WR (Ohio State)
5LA ChargersQuinyon Mitchell, CB (Toledo)
6NY GiantsDallas Turner, EDGE (Alabama)
7TennesseeOlu Fashanu, OT (Penn State)
8AtlantaMalik Nabers, WR (LSU)
9ChicagoRome Odunze, WR (Washington)
10NY JetsJoe Alt, OT (Notre Dame)
11MinnesotaLaiatu Latu, DE (UCLA)
12DenverTerrion Arnold, CB (Alabama)
13Las VegasNate Wiggins, CB (Clemson)
14New OrleansJared Verse, DE (Florida State)
15IndianapolisBrian Thomas Jr., WR (LSU)
16SeattleJ.J. McCarthy, QB (LSU)
17JacksonvilleJackson Powers-Johnson, OG (Oregon)
18CincinnatiBrock Bowers, TE (Georgia)
19LA RamsBo Nix, QB (Oregon)
20PittsburghTroy Fautanu, OG (Washington)
21MiamiCooper DeJean, S (Iowa)
22PhiladelphiaAdonai Mitchell, WR (Texas)
23MinnesotaChop Robinson, EDGE (Penn State)
24DallasTaliese Fuaga, OT (Oregon State)
25Green BayJ.C. Latham, OT (Alabama)
26Tampa BayXavier Worthy, WR (Texas)
27ArizonaKool-Aid McKinstry, CB (Alabama)
28BuffaloJer’Zhan Newton, DT (Illinois)
29DetroitByron Murphy II, DT (Texas)
30BaltimoreKamari Lassiter, CB (Georgia)
31San FranciscoAmarius Mims, OT (Georgia)
32Kansas CityTyler Guyton, OT (Oklahoma)

Second Round

33CarolinaZach Frazier, C (West Virginia)
34New EnglandJordan Morgan, OT (Arizona)
35ArizonaDarius Robinson, EDGE (Minnesota)
36WashingtonXavier Legette, WR (South Carolina)
37LA ChargersMichael Hall Jr., DT (Ohio State)
38TennesseeT.J. Tampa, CB (Iowa State)
39CarolinaKeon Coleman, WR (Florida State)
40WashingtonGraham Barton, OG (Duke)
41Green BayTyler Nubin, S (Minnesota)
42HoustonChris Braswell, EDGE (Alabama)
43AtlantaMichael Penix Jr., QB (Washington)
44Las VegasKingsley Suamataia, OT (BYU)
45New OrleansLadd McConkey, WR (Georgia)
46IndianapolisKamren Kinchens, S (Miami)
47NY GiantsEnnis Rakestraw Jr., CB (Missouri)
48JacksonvillePatrick Paul, OT (Houston)
49CincinnatiTroy Franklin, WR (Oregon)
50PhiladelphiaEdgerrin Cooper, LB (Texas A&M)
51PittsburghT’Vondre Sweat, DT (Texas)
52LA RamsBralen Trice, EDGE (Washington)
53PhiladelphiaMarshawn Kneeland, EDGE (Western Michigan)
54ClevelandRuke Orhorhoro, DT (Clemson)
55MiamiJa’Lynn Polk, WR (Washington)
56DallasTrey Benson, RB (Florida State)
57Tampa BayAdisa Isaac, EDGE (Penn State)
58Green BayCooper Beebe, OG (Kansas State)
59HoustonMalachi Corley, WR (WKU)
60BuffaloMax Melton, CB (Rutgers)
61DetroitChristian Haynes, OG (UConn)
62BaltimoreRoman Wilson, WR (Michigan)
63San FranciscoBrandon Dorius, EDGE (Oregon)
64Kansas CityJalen McMillan, WR (Washington)

Third Round

65CarolinaCedric Gray, LB (North Carolina)
66ArizonaSedrick Van Pran, C (Georgia)
67WashingtonPayton Wilson, LB (NC State)
68New EnglandRicky Pearsall, WR (Florida)
69LA ChargersBen Sinnott, TE (Kansas State)
70NY GiantsKris Jenkins, DT (Michigan)
71ArizonaLeonard Taylor III, DT (Miami)
72NY JetsDevontez Walker, WR (North Carolina)
73DetroitCaelan Carson, CB (Wake Forest)
74AtlantaCam Hart, CB (Notre Dame)
75ChicagoJa’Tavion Sanders, TE (Texas)
76DenverJavon Bullard, CB (Georgia)
77Las VegasJonathon Brooks, RB (Texas)
78WashingtonAustin Booker, DE (Kansas)
79AtlantaBraden Fiske, DT (Florida State)
80CincinnatiKiran Amedagije, OT (Yale)
81SeattleChristian Mahogany, OG (Boston College)
82IndianapolisMike Sainristil, CB (Michigan)
83LA RamsD.J. James, CB (Auburn)
84PittsburghRoger Rosengarten, OT (Washington)
85ClevelandJunior Colson, LB (Michigan)
86HoustonKris Abrams-Draine, CB (Missouri)
87DallasRenardo Green, CB (Florida State)
88Green BayKhyree Jackson, CB (Oregon)
89Tampa BayBeau Brade, S (Maryland)
90ArizonaAndru Phillips, CB (Kentucky)
91Green BayJalyx Hunt, EDGE (Houston Christian)
92Tampa BayDominick Puni, OG (Kansas)
93BaltimoreMcKinnley Jackson, DT (Texas A&M)
94Kansas CityBraelon Allen, RB (Wisconsin)
95San FranciscoKalen King, CB (Penn State)
96JacksonvilleJohnny Wilson, WR (Florida State)
97CincinnatiJosh Newton, CB (TCU)
98PittsburghJeremiah Trotter Jr., LB (Clemson)
99LA RamsCalen Bullock, S (USC)
100WashingtonJames Williams, S (Miami)

The top few picks seem set in stone. Maybe on in that specific order but those top four will, most likely, be the top four come draft night. As for some of the other picks, man there were some huge drops. Like Kris Jenkins. Only a few weeks ago, a fair amount of mocks had him in the first round. I don’t think he’s even being considered as a first rounder anymore. Almost the same with Byron Murphy II. I had him going fifth to the Chargers which may have been a bit high in retrospect. But for him to drop to almost completely out of the first round is an alarming drop. Sometimes it’s fairly easy to find out what has happened to lower a potential draftee’s stock and sometimes…well, sometimes who the hell knows. It just happens.

Potential Draft Day Trades

OK so these would include trades coming up toward the draft as well, not just the ones on draft opening night. And no, I can’t see the Bears or the Commanders trading their picks so let’s start with the #3 pick.

New England (#3) – Chances of the Patriots trading this pick are slim but considering the haul that some teams have received for a top 3 pick in NFL history, the right package might come along to entice them to trade down. I have a feeling it would take at least two first-rounders, two second-rounders, and at least one other pick.

NY Giants (#6) – Probably the highest pick with true potential to be dealt is the Giants at #6. The Giants desperately need help on both lines but there are a few options available meaning they could trade down a few spots and still get one of the guys they covet. A first-round pick swap would have to happen and the team trading with the G-Men couldn’t be far below the #16 spot for this to work. Other picks would come the Giants way as well.

Tennessee (#7) – This becomes a possibility if the Patriots trade down. The reason is, one of Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels would be available and there are a few teams that would love to trade up to get one of the two. That includes the Falcons, Vikings, Broncos and Raiders. Knowing that, the Titans could get a larger pick haul than the Giants even though the pick would be later.

NY Jets (#10) – The Jets are hoping that Aaron Rodgers will be healthy this year. And to help with that, they want an offensive lineman desperately. The hope is that one of Olu Fashanu or Joe Alt fall to them. If neither of them are available, I would fully expect the Jets to shop the pick and they could drop a fair way if they wanted to.

The Vikings feel like the most likely pick to move up since, for some reason, many are saying they really want J.J. McCarthy. I think it would be crazy to trade up because I think McCarthy, at least at this point, would be available to the Vikings at #11. Maybe I’m wrong with that. They would most likely just trade picks but they have one bargaining chip that some teams might not be able to ignore: Justin Jefferson. If the Vikings can’t extend Double J, then they might include him in a trade to see what they could get. Arizona would be a trading partner if (and only if) this was a possibility.

In non-draft news, the UFL has commenced their season. Not exactly a ton of fans for a couple of these games but some wacky shit happened. Jake Bates hit a 64-yard field goal to help his Michigan Stags beat St. Louis. Funny enough, it was on the same uprights that Justin Tucker kicked his NFL-record 67-yarder to beat the Lions a couple years ago. Then you had San Antonio punter Brad Wing throwing a 40-yard touchdown pass on 4th and 11 to the team’s centre Alex Mollette. So at least it’s entertaining, you have to give it that. And it’s football. A tiny appetizer before the CFL, then college football, then NFL season starts. So embrace it. Or don’t. I don’t care. I realize March Madness was on this past weekend so I can see why people might not watch.

OK I will do one more mock draft closer to actual draft day (which starts April 25th). And even then, most of my picks will be wrong. At least I can take solace in the fact that I will have close to the same record as the so-called experts have.

The college schedule is coming into form. It’s kind of tough with the changes coming up this season so for good parts of the schedule I have nothing to compare it to. So we shall see how that goes when I start doing my most important game posts. Anyway, I hope you all had a great Easter long weekend and have a great first week of April.

The ALL-NEW Mock NFL Draft Version 2 Dash 2024 along with a look-back

That intro sounds like when The (Big Money!) Match Game 1976 would air on Game Show Network. Why did they need to put the year in? When people were watching it live, were they so fucking stoned that they had to be reminded what year it was?

Anyway, I am starting this post a couple days after Selection Sunday. Now I am not an avid college basketball watcher but I know they screwed some of these picks up. And remember, when a conference gets a team in, they get more money. That’s important. The ACC got five teams in and Virginia was one of them and they may be one of the worst at-large choices ever. A few teams that were left out, most notably Oklahoma and Indiana State, were, by most metrics, better choices. But the ACC is THE big basketball brand and only having four teams in would look disastrous. Fully deserved, mind you. But still disastrous. Luckily, I don’t care as much as I do with college football but these tournament committees are fucking terrible in every sport.

Let’s get to the root of this post: the next mock draft. I know…two mock drafts before the end of March? Haven’t done that in quite a while. And, of course, quite a bit changed thanks to the Kreepy Kombine and scouts changing their minds as much as they change their underwear (so about once every four days). Here’s the newest mock draft, now expanded to two rounds for your pleasure.

First Round

1ChicagoCaleb Williams, QB (USC)
2WashingtonDrake Maye, QB (North Carolina)
3New EnglandJayden Daniels, QB (LSU)
4ArizonaMarvin Harrison Jr., WR (Ohio State)
5LA ChargersByron Murphy II, DT (Texas)
6NY GiantsDallas Turner, EDGE (Alabama)
7TennesseeJoe Alt, OT (Notre Dame)
8AtlantaMalik Nabers, WR (LSU)
9ChicagoRome Odunze, WR (Washington)
10NY JetsOlu Fashanu, OT (Penn State)
11MinnesotaLaiatu Latu, DE (UCLA)
12DenverJared Verse, DE (Florida State)
13Las VegasQuinyon Mitchell, CB (Toledo)
14New OrleansBrian Thomas Jr., WR (LSU)
15IndianapolisNate Wiggins, CB (Clemson)
16SeattleBo Nix, QB (Oregon)
17JacksonvilleTerrion Arnold, CB (Alabama)
18CincinnatiBrock Bowers, TE (Georgia)
19LA RamsCooper DeJean, S (Iowa)
20PittsburghTroy Fautanu, OG (Washington)
21MiamiKris Jenkins, DT (Michigan)
22PhiladelphiaXavier Worthy, WR (Texas)
23HoustonJer’Zhan Newton, DT (Illinois)
24DallasJackson Powers-Johnson, OG (Oregon)
25Green BayGraham Barton, OG (Duke)
26Tampa BayJ.J. McCarthy, QB (Michigan)
27ArizonaZach Frazier, OG (West Virginia)
28BuffaloTyler Nubin, S (Minnesota)
29DetroitDarius Robinson, EDGE (Minnesota)
30BaltimoreAdonai Mitchell, WR (Texas)
31San FranciscoTaliese Fuaga, OT (Oregon State)
32Kansas CityJ.C. Latham, OT (Alabama)

Second Round

33CarolinaChop Robinson, EDGE (Penn State)
34New EnglandTyler Guyton, OT (Oklahoma)
35ArizonaKool-Aid McKinstry, CB (Alabama)
36WashingtonXavier Legette, WR (South Carolina)
37LA ChargersKamari Lassiter, CB (Georgia)
38TennesseeCam Hart, CB (Notre Dame)
39NY GiantsMichael Hall Jr., DT (Ohio State)
40WashingtonPayton Wilson, LB (NC State)
41Green BayAmarius Mims, OT (Georgia)
42MinnesotaMichael Penix Jr., QB (Washington)
43AtlantaEnnis Rakestraw Jr., CB (Missouri)
44Las VegasJordan Morgan, OT (Arizona)
45New OrleansKingsley Suamataia, OT (BYU)
46IndianapolisKamren Kinchens, S (Miami)
47NY GiantsT.J. Tampa, CB (Iowa State)
48JacksonvilleLadd McConkey, WR (Georgia)
49CincinnatiKeon Coleman, WR (Florida State)
50PhiladelphiaChris Braswell, EDGE (Alabama)
51PittsburghEdgerrin Cooper, LB (Texas A&M)
52LA RamsBralen Trice, EDGE (Washington)
53PhiladelphiaMike Sainristil, CB (Michigan)
54ClevelandBraden Fiske, DT (Florida State)
55MiamiTroy Franklin, WR (Oregon)
56DallasPaul Patrick, OT (Houston)
57Tampa BayCooper Beebe, OG (Kansas State)
58Green BayJavon Bullard, S (Georgia)
59HoustonRoman Wilson, WR (Michigan)
60BuffaloT’Vondre Sweat, DT (Texas)
61DetroitChristian Haynes, OG (UConn)
62BaltimoreRuke Orhorhoro, DT (Clemson)
63San FranciscoMarshawn Kneeland, EDGE (Western Michigan)
64Kansas CityRicky Pearsall, WR (Florida)

Are there some changes? Absolutely? Are they Earth-shattering? Not really. Although you can expect at least one of these current second-rounders to rocket up draft boards for reasons that are sometimes, well, unknown or make no sense. By this point teams should know what they see in a player. So unless that player does something negative, they shouldn’t go from a consensus low-second rounder to a mid-first round pick in a matter of a little over a month. But hey, what do I know.

Also, what is with the sudden J.J. McCarthy hype? It has that feel of some people wanting McCarthy to go higher so they are basically willing it to happen. Any team that would consider drafting McCarthy in the Top 10 is obviously fine with extreme risk. Not saying McCarthy won’t end up being good but his college career has shown nothing that says he will be a top-end starter.

OK so years ago (nine to be exact), I used part of a mock draft post to talk about sites I enjoy. And it was definitely also about helping my blog in a way since I was still pretty green at the time (two years in). Let’s look back and see if I still feel the same way about these sites.

Matt’s College Sports Media Blog – Along with Matt’s College Sports on TV is still the premier site for college football and college basketball TV scheduling news and notes. I think he still likes Formula One racing which is great if you like that. He’s also a Bills fan which is pretty damn awesome.

Phil Steele – Still the best college football preview magazine. There are other good ones out there but nothing comes close. And his site fills in the gaps. I am assuming many hardcore college football fans subscribe to his site to get a lot of great stats and gambling info. I tried it for a couple of years and it was almost overwhelming. Still…worth it just to peruse all the free stuff he does put up, which is a lot.

A Rouge Point – This site does not exist anymore. Actually, it ceased to exist not even a year after I published this original post. It’s too bad since it was a great look at sports media coverage in Canada and posted NFL and NHL schedules for Canadian viewers.

Deadspin – Speaking of sites that are no longer around, this site might as well be. At one point it was one of the great sports sites on the net. It wasn’t long after I made the original post that things started to go downhill. A site that used to be brash and willing to take on all comers became a bunch of writers who thought they were the moral compass of a good portion of the Internet (especially sports fans). Even their best writers became insufferable. Then they all got fired/walked out in late 2019 when a company told them to stick to sports which made the site even worse. Now, it looks like they have been bought out, the staff was fired (again) and they look to be getting into the sports gambling industry. Ugh.

Awful Announcing – A site that used to absolutely skewer announcers (and sometimes athletes and sports organizations in general) has gone away from their bread and butter. They still throw up the occasional great article but aren’t as good as they were in their heyday.

LSUfootball.net – The first site I came upon when figuring out the sheer amount of games available for college football viewing…in the United States. Still a very informative site.

Alright another mock draft and post in the books. I assume most of you have March Madness brackets going. Chances of me going perfect ended at the end of the first game and I’ve already lost one of my Final Four picks. Good times. Have a great rest of the weekend everyone!

Yes, it’s already the first mock draft of the year (along with some network change news)

Do I have time to do this? No. So why am I doing it? I honestly don’t know. I think I just feel I should put a bit more into the offseason portion of my blog. I mean it is half the year and there have been times I have gone dark for like a month. What will people read? The newspaper? Get the fuck outta here.

Honestly, I feel that even though this blog will turn 11 in a few months, I haven’t tried enough to take it to the next level, so to speak. Maybe not more posts but better posts. More informative stuff. It almost feels like this may be a make-or-break twelve months for me. With all the shit I have to do to get my career to the next step, it means there will be less and less time to do stuff I enjoy, like this blog. I always have to remind myself why I started this in the first place: to organize my own college football viewing. It allowed me to watch more college football than ever before and be efficient with it as well, while still making time for my kids. Then again, I ended up separated four months after the blog started so…..yeah.

So let’s just get on with the first mock draft of who knows how many leading up to the draft and hey how about that, look who’s going first overall.

1ChicagoCaleb Williams, QB (USC)
2WashingtonJayden Daniels, QB (LSU)
3New EnglandDrake Maye, QB (North Carolina)
4ArizonaMarvin Harrison Jr., WR (Ohio State)
5LA ChargersBrock Bowers, TE (Georgia)
6NY GiantsByron Murphy II, DT (Texas)
7TennesseeJoe Alt, OT (Notre Dame)
8AtlantaMalik Nabers, WR (LSU)
9ChicagoRome Odunze, WR (Washington)
10NY JetsOlumuyiwa Fashanu, OT (Penn State)
11MinnesotaDallas Turner, OLB (Alabama)
12DenverLaiatu Latu, DE (UCLA)
13Las VegasBo Nix, QB (Oregon)
14New OrleansJ.C. Latham, OT (Alabama)
15IndianapolisNate Wiggins, CB (Clemson)
16SeattleKris Jenkins, DT (Michigan)
17JacksonvilleQuinyon Mitchell, CB (Toledo)
18CincinnatiMichael Hall Jr., DT (Ohio State)
19LA RamsKamren Kitchens, S (Miami)
20PittsburghJordan Morgan, OT (Arizona)
21MiamiTroy Fautanu, OG (Washington)
22PhiladelphiaJared Verse, DE (Florida State)
23HoustonKamari Lassiter, CB (Georgia)
24DallasBrian Thomas Jr., WR (LSU)
25Green BayCooper DeJean, S (Iowa)
26Tampa BayXavier Legette, WR (South Carolina)
27ArizonaTerrion Arnold, CB (Alabama)
28BuffaloKool-Aid McKinstry, CB (Alabama)
29DetroitCam Hart, CB (Notre Dame)
30BaltimoreXavier Worthy, WR (Texas)
31San FranciscoTyler Guyton, OT (Oklahoma)
32Kansas CityTallies Fuaga, OT (Oregon State)

I am firmly in the camp that says that the Bears will trade Justin Fields. Whether it’s before the draft, during the draft, or after the draft, I don’t know. I just can’t see them passing up on Williams when they could get him AND a really good receiver for their first two picks. On top of that, they could get more picks that will help them later in the draft or in the following year’s event. Not quite a win-win but damn near close. The Commanders and Patriots also need quarterbacks desperately so they will be watching what the Bears do very closely…and possibly even calling them to inquire about how much it would take to trade for that top pick of theirs. Other interesting notes from this first kick at the can:

  • The first team that doesn’t need a quarterback is the Cardinals and they are very much hoping the Bears take Caleb Williams since it will mean that Marvin Harrison Jr. will fall into their lap. Pairing him with Kyler Murray could be quite something for a moribund Cards’ offense.
  • The Chargers need almost everything that isn’t the quarterback position. If I am them, I nab Bowers, pick another receiver up later on, and bulk up the offense. Win games in true Big XII fashion this coming season. It may be their only hope at getting close to a playoff spot.
  • Any potential steals here? Not really but the Saints nabbing Latham at #14 would be good value as would the Eagles picking up Jared Verse at #22.

Will I do more mock drafts? Of course. When? I have no clue.

Now let’s look at the changes coming to conferences and broadcast networks in the Fall. There really is only one major change but it does have a domino effect. The SEC is now fully on ABC/ESPN/SEC Network/ESPN2/ESPNU (if they absolutely have to be) and ESPN+ because they are contractually obligated to be once a season (at least that’s the way the previous SEC contract played out). With the SEC on ABC, they will easily get the majority of the Saturday night games. Not all, but with 14 weeks worth of games, the SEC will get no less than ten of those.

So that domino effect…SEC had every evening ESPN game last year. I can’t see that being the case since that would compete directly with the game on ABC. So they should get a lot less of those and they should get filled with the ACC and Big XII. The American might end up actually getting more games on ESPN with this new arrangement which seems crazy but with the ACC and, to a lesser extent, the Big XII getting hurt by this from a Disney/ESPN perspective, the American Conference is ready to pick up a few pieces here and there.

The Big XII won’t cry about this though. For everything they will end up losing from ESPN/ABC, they will gain more than that quite possibly from the FOX side of things. Sure, the Big Ten will get many of the Big Noon Kickoff games. But beyond that? Remember, the Big Ten has a game a week on CBS, a game a week on NBC and eight games on Peacock. Also, you might see a couple of late night Big Ten affairs on the Big Ten Network. So there will be plenty of spots on FOX and FOX Sports One for the Big XII to fill in since there is no more Pac-12. The other conference that wins here? The Mountain West. They should get a lot more FS1 games with how things are shaking out.

So even though the SEC and Big Ten will start to dominate the landscape of college football, we might get more chances than ever to watch other conferences. Now if they can just figure out how to get FS1 games up here legally and Canadians won’t have any reason to complain about access to CFB games in the future ever again (other than the one Notre Dame game a season on Peacock and weird stuff like the Hawaii Tests).

Alright more posts to come but no football for over a month. The UFL starts in late March and I’m…honestly not that excited about it but it’s football so I am sure will watch some at some point since it’s football and I love football. Better than watching the news, right? Have a good weekend everyone!

Time for the Superest of Bowls (in theory)

Let’s be honest: this is not the Super Bowl matchup that most wanted. Most wanted the darlings of the NFL, the hapless Detroit Lions, to finally ascend the big game for the first time in franchise history. Who did many want as their opponent? Not the Kansas City Chiefs. It wouldn’t have mattered who the Chiefs were up against, most would have wanted the other team to win. Alas, neither thing happened

The Ravens decided to play their worst game of the season at the most inopportune time, abandoning their running game in rainy weather because…well I don’t know why. Some say the Chiefs had the Ravens number but Baltimore ran the ball only sixteen times. Idiots. The Lions, on the other hand, allowed a pretty damn big comeback from the Niners to lose their shot at glory. Now, we can all debate whether Dan Campbell’s penchant for being uber-aggressive and going for it on fourth down twice was the right call (I lean to the second time, at least, being a spot where you try the field goal, if not both but that’s just me). In the end, however, they missed on both of those plays, the Niners took advantage and Mr. Irrelevant gets a chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Which isn’t a bad backup feelgood story, no?

Anyway, last year I did a bit of a Super Bowl preview post. Then again, I was off work at the time so I had plenty of time to do so. But…..let’s just do another one, for old time’s sake. (Short) Breakdown of the game:

Offense – Very close. Both teams have arguably the best offenses in the league. They can be fun to watch and tough to defend. I think the Chiefs have the slight edge with the better offensive line but this is almost a push.

Defense – Not quite as close but maybe closer than you think. The Niners have the better defense but the Chiefs looked awfully good against the Ravens a couple weeks back.

Special Teams – Tough call here. Harrison Butker is one of the best kickers in the league but the Niners have a great return game. Call it a wash once again.

Coaching – It’s Andy Reid, folks. Despite his sometimes questionable clock management skills, he is still one of the best coaches of all-time. Kyle Shanahan is good too but has already lost once to Reid and everyone remembers the Falcons debacle back at Super Bowl LI.

So what did we learn? Absolutely nothing. This should be a close one. The Bossman’s prediction…

*drum roll please*

Niners 30 Chiefs 28.

Now watch it be a blowout. Anyway, where can you watch the game? It’s on CBS this year so you get some “Hello, Friends” along with a lot of “I DON’T KNOW JIM!” from our pals Nantz and Romo. For people who are just itching to see what Tim Horton’s has done for the next mediocre commercial, the game is on all CTV affiliates and all the TSNs (including TSN+) except the ugly duckling, TSN2.

Then…that’s it. No more football. Well, that’s not true. The new UFL starts late next month and then the CFL starts in early June. I’m sure there’s some arena football in there too and I see there’s even a European League of Football that we probably can’t get here (legally). So we won’t be totally starved of football but it is a long six-and-a-half months until the start of the college football season. So savour this one final game of the year, even if it does end up sucking. For the final time this season, enjoy the game everyone.

It’s Conference Championship Time!

I would have put more exclamation marks in the title but I can’t be as excited as I would have been thanks to Wide Right II – Pro Edition.

Let’s just get right to this Bills-less conference championship weekend schedule, shall we?

Sunday

Kansas City at Baltimore3:00, CBS, CTV, TSN 1/3/5/+
Detroit at San Francisco6:30, FOX, CTV, TSN 1/3*/5/+

Quick Notes!

  • (The now) classic 3 and 6:30 start times for the games. Having the late game end between 9:30 and 10:00 is honestly pretty fucking awesome I have to say.
  • TSN3 will be getting to the NFC Championship game late. After the AFC Championship, the Raptors face the Hawks. That game should end around 8:30 or so meaning TSN3 should join in progress around the start of the fourth quarter. Now I have no clue who only has one TSN (along with TSN2 which has always been the “alternate” TSN) in this country anymore but for the ones out there that only get TSN3, there you go.
  • There’s a chance it will be a completely sloppy NFL Sunday. Baltimore will be hosting yet another super wet playoff game (do they think they are Seattle or something?) and there is a decent probability for rain in Santa Clara as well. I want to say rain and other non-sunny weather evens the playing field but I am not sure anymore (and chances are there are analytics that refute that notion).
  • My prediction for the Super Bowl…Ravens-Lions.

Look, all we can hope for is at least one good game this weekend, right? If we get two? Very nice.

Since I won’t be doing a blog post between this one and the Super Bowl, might as well clue you in on the few college football all-star games there will be coming up. Thursday night will be the East-West Shrine Bowl, now taking place in Frisco at The Star which is where I believe they also do the Conference USA basketball tournament on two separate courts with games going on at the same time. Leave it to C-USA to do something wacky like that. Then next Saturday it is the Senior Bowl. The Shrine Bowl begins at 8:00 on Thursday and the Senior Bowl kicks off at 1:00. Both games have slightly altered rules but it is kind of fun to see some players who are getting draft-ready. Both games will be on the NFL Network.

Alright, have a great weekend and hopefully things dry up a bit. It’s one thing to just have snow on the ground; another to have slush and water. Ugh. Anyway, enjoy the games everyone!

And now we have the Divisional Playoffs Schedule

So how about Super Wild Card Weekend? Yeah, it was a dud. I mean I was happy the Bills won and the Rams-Lions game was great but other than that? Meh. Not so super. Let’s hope the divisional playoffs are better (could they be worse…wait, don’t answer that). Here’s the schedule:

Saturday

Houston at Baltimore4:30, ABC, CTV, TSN 3/5/+
Green Bay at San Francisco8:00, FOX, CTV, TSN 3/5/+

Sunday

Tampa Bay at Detroit3:00, NBC, CTV, TSN 1/3/4/+
Kansas City at Buffalo6:30, CBS, CTV, TSN 3/4/+

A few Non-Super (I guess) Divisional Round Notes

  • It is kind of nice to see all four networks share the divisional round. It should be like this forever. It won’t be because I am sure Amazon is itching to get playoff games on Prime and the NFL will definitely do it for the right amount of money.
  • Not gonna lie: I watched a decent portion of Monday’s games on CTV. But I muted things when commercials came on. I don’t care what shitty shows CTV is highlighting for the next few months. I will watch none of them. No, I don’t care that Tim Horton’s has something new to sell because I rarely go there. Commercials, for the most part, suck now. They have an even worse track record than stand-up comedians (only 25% at any one time are funny) and podcasts (maybe 15% of them are worth listening to). It’s frightening that there is so little creativity in advertising these days. Maybe all the good ideas have been taken? Seems to have happened with movies.
  • Can Patrick Mahomes win on the road in the playoffs? This will, if you can believe it, his first ever true road playoff game. For it to be in the not-so-friendly confines of the Ralph in Buffalo is a tough way to get his road playoff game cherry popped.
  • Shades of the NFC Central: the Bucs and Lions playing in a playoff game? Almost every year in the history of either of these franchises you could never say that with a straight face. Add the Packers in the other NFC game and you have the makings of a great division, albeit one that doesn’t exist anymore.

Not going to say much about Wild Card weekend that I didn’t say above. The situation in Orchard Park was ridiculous but what can you do, right? Except put all the Wild Card games on the weekend. Can’t do that, though, because ESPN paid a lot of money to get a Monday Night Football Wild Card game. And this may become a more common thing if the NFL buys a part of ESPN. Yes, this could happen. And it would be ridiculous and most likely not good for the game but who cares because MONEY!

OK everyone, no more college football except for the wacky all-star games that remain. I guess it’s better than nothing. Then it’s no college ball until August. Brings a tear to my eye. In the meantime, let’s hope the NFL can entertain us more than it did during SUPER Wild Card Weekend. Enjoy the games everyone!

It’s time for another SUPER Wild Card Weekend

Playoff time is here! And what a last week it was in the regular season. Fun times! And for what feels like the first time in a long time, there really isn’t a true Super Bowl favourite. The #1 seeds, San Francisco and Baltimore, have their issues and have been exposed already this season. Plus, until Lamar Jackson can do his normal Lamar Jackson things in the playoffs, it’s tough to trust the Ravens. Even the other division champs have their wrinkles. The Bills, Cowboys, Chiefs and Lions have all looked bad at times this season. So who knows? Maybe we get the worst division champ coming out of it all smelling like roses. Maybe we see the first ever seventh seed Wild Card win. It’s all up in the air. So let’s get down to what could truly end up being a SUPER Wild Card Weekend.

Saturday

Cleveland at Houston4:30, NBC, CTV, TSN 1/3/+
Miami at Kansas City8:15, CTV, TSN 1/3/+

Sunday

Pittsburgh at Buffalo1:00, CBS, CTV, TSN 4/5/+
Green Bay at Dallas4:30, FOX, CTV, TSN 4/5/+
LA Rams at Detroit8:00, NBC, CTV, TSN 4/5/+

Monday

Pittsburgh at Buffalo4:30, CBS, CTV, TSN 3/5/+
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay8:00, ABC, CTV, TSN 3/5/+

Juuuuuuuuuuuuust a Few Wild Card Notes

  • I don’t know how many years I have been saying this but I will keep saying it: division winners should not be guaranteed a home playoff game. Period. End of story. It’s like saying it’s Philadelphia’s fault for being in a division with Dallas. How dare they. See how stupid that sounds? Well that’s what the NFL says.
  • It is going to be one of the coldest NFL games on record on Saturday night in KC. Tickets are now going for $33 which is completely fucking insane for an NFL playoff game. Don’t get me wrong, I’ve been to some crazy weather games, including the 1996 Grey Cup, better known as the Snow Bowl. I don’t think I’ve ever been to one that, as of right now, looks like it could dip to a windchill of -34 Celsius by the end of the game. That’s too cold for even my blood.
  • Other weather issues will come about in Buffalo. Right now, as I type this, the snow has just started here in the Guelph area and I can’t see across the street. I can just imagine what Buffalo might look like by Sunday morning. The issue shouldn’t be the snow that has already fallen as they are getting people to start shovelling now. It’s the fact that there is supposed to be a good amount of snow just before and during the game. That’s when the chaos happens. This is great fodder for the “Buffalo should build a dome for their next stadium” people.
  • The ManningCast will be back for the Monday night playoff game…but only if you have TSN+ (or another way of getting it that may or may not be illegal).
  • Back to the Dolphins-Chiefs game, you will notice it is the only one without an American network listed. That’s because it will air on Peacock. And yes, it is pissing off a lot of Americans. Lucky for us we have a few different options to watch but down there? Nope. I hear Peacock is a pretty decent streaming service but still, to have to subscribe to it to get this one game is insane. Then again, Amazon Prime has their own night of the week for pro football so we can’t be too surprised at this point.

UPDATE: Due to the snowfall that has hit the Buffalo area and the snow still to come, New York Governor Kathy Hochul has declared a State of Emergency for the area to go throughout the weekend. This means that the Steelers-Bills game will now be played at 4:30 on Monday (think of the ratings!) on CBS, CTV and a couple of TSNs. You know, they could have avoided this by, oh I don’t know, HAVING ALL THE GAMES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY! This way you could have used Monday night but oh no, can’t do that. Money over brains. Every time.

Like last year am I going to add my updated predictions. Actually, my original prediction of Niners-Chiefs in the Superb Owl could still hold up. The biggest disappointment from my original playoff picks? Jacksonville. What a fucking collapse in a relatively easy division. Alright so let’s get to the updated Bossman Playoff Picks of Passion and Probable Disappointment.

Wild Card Round

Cleveland def. Houston

Kansas City def. Miami

Buffalo def. Pittsburgh

Green Bay def. Dallas (yes, a big upset)

Detroit def. LA Rams

Philadelphia def. Tampa Bay

Divisional Playoffs

Baltimore def. Cleveland

Buffalo def. Kansas City

San Francisco def. Green Bay

Detroit def. Philadelphia

Conference Championships

Baltimore def. Buffalo

San Francisco def. Detroit

Super Bowl LVIII

San Francisco def. Baltimore

Would I love to see the Bills win? Absolutely. It would make my year already. Even with the chaos that this year’s playoffs is bringing, I don’t think they quite have the team to do it. I still believe the Niners will win it all but the Chiefs I just don’t have as much faith in as I did at the beginning of the season. Lamar Jackson finally looks good in the playoffs even with a Super Bowl loss and gets a lot of people off his back about his poor playoff performances of the past.

So….it looks like pretty much all of Canada is going to be either snowy or cold or somehow both. So why not stay inside and watch some football? Enjoy the games everyone!

Alright, Let’s Do This! The Week 18 NFL TV Schedule

Last year around this time we were discussing the final week of the regular season, sure. However, we were also kind of recovering from what happened to Damar Hamlin’s on-field cardiac arrest. It was one of the craziest times in NFL history and I hope we never have to deal with something like that again.

This year, let’s look at the positive. All the playoff races that are left. And there are plenty. Let’s get to that schedule and then we will do my typical final NFL regular season week analysis. Here we go!

American Networks

Atlanta at New Orleans1:00Seattle, Spokane, Minneapolis, Detroit
Cleveland at Cincinnati1:00Cleveland
Jacksonville at Tennessee1:00Buffalo, Rochester, Watertown, Burlington, Boston, Presque Isle
Minnesota at Detroit1:00Tacoma, Seattle, Spokane, Minneapolis, Detroit
NY Jets at New England1:00Buffalo, Rochester, Watertown, Burlington, Boston, Presque Isle
Chicago at Green Bay4:25Seattle, Spokane, Minneapolis, Detroit, Cleveland
Philadelphia at NY Giants4:25Buffalo, Rochester, Watertown, Burlington, Boston, Presque Isle
Seattle at Arizona4:25Tacoma, Seattle, Spokane
Dallas at Washington4:25Minneapolis, Buffalo, Rochester, Watertown, Burlington, Boston, Presque Isle
LA Rams at San Francisco4:25Detroit

Canadian Networks

Jacksonville at Tennessee1:00Northern Ontario, Kitchener, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal, Atlantic
Atlanta at New Orleans1:00Vancouver Island, AlbertaTSN1, TSN4, TSN5
Minnesota at Detroit1:00Vancouver, Alberta, Saskatchewan, WinnipegAll affiliates (except Vancouver Island & Alberta)
Chicago at Green Bay4:25Alberta, Saskatchewan, Winnipeg, Northern Ontario, OttawaTSN1, TSN4, TSN5
Philadelphia at NY Giants4:25Montreal, Atlantic
Dallas at Washington4:25Kitchener, Toronto
Seattle at Arizona4:25Vancouver

Saturday Games and Sunday Night Game

Pittsburgh at BaltimoreSaturday, 4:30, ABC, CTV, TSN 1/3/4/5
Houston at IndianapolisSaturday, 8:15, ABC, CTV, TSN 1/3/4/5
Buffalo at MiamiSunday, 8:15, NBC, CTV, TSN 1/3*/4*/5/+

Some Super Special Last Regular Season Weekend Notes

  • As per usual, it’s all divisional matchups for the final week of the season. And there are a lot of playoff races as I will discuss later on.
  • You see the asterisks for the Bills-Dolphins game for TSN3 and TSN4. Well, the game will start airing on TSN3 after the Jets-Coyotes game and, for some unknown and stupid reason, Sportscentre. So it will start around 10:00: a little into the third quarter. As for TSN4, they have the Raptors and Warriors so they won’t get to the game until about 11:00. The football game should be well into the fourth quarter at that point. So really, stick to TSN1 or 5 (or + if you like the “enhanced” game feed).
  • The three national games were pretty easy choices, for the most part. Bills-Dolphins felt like a lock for the Sunday nighter once Miami was blown away by Baltimore. Texans-Colts was also pretty much a lock for a standalone game considering it’s win-or-go-home. The other choice was interesting for sure. A lot of possibilities. Steelers-Ravens makes sense just because a win by the Steelers makes the Buffalo-Miami game all the more important for the Bills. It becomes a much bigger risk-reward game for the Bills as they almost assuredly out with a loss in this case.
  • Games not being shown here unless you have the Sunday Ticket or RedZone magic potion:
    • Kansas City at LA Chargers
    • Tampa Bay at Carolina
    • Denver at Las Vegas
  • No surprise really with the first and third games on that list not being available up here. The second one is a bit interesting since the Bucs win the NFC South with a win, no matter what happens with the Saints and Falcons. I think the issue north of the border was where would this be shown that would take the place of the other two games on in this timeslot on FOX. It probably could have replaced the Jets-Patriots game to be honest but I have a feeling that FOX figured the AFC East, even with a meaningless game, would be more watched than an NFC South matchup in the Northeastern United States and most of Eastern Canada. And they are probably right.
  • Hey thankfully I don’t have to go over the strangest set of scenarios ever like last season. Let’s hope that never happens again…more for Damar Hamlin’s case than anything.

So this is it. We have made it. The final playoff picture of the season:

AFCNFC
#1 Baltimore (13-3) (clinched home-field advantage)#1 San Francisco (12-4) (clinched home-field advantage)
#2 Miami (11-5) (clinched playoff berth)#2 Dallas (11-5) (clinched playoff berth)
#3 Kansas City (10-6) (clinched AFC West)#3 Detroit (11-5) (clinched NFC North)
#4 Jacksonville (9-7)#4 Tampa Bay (8-8)
Wild Cards:Wild Cards:
#5 Cleveland (11-5) (clinched playoff berth)#5 Philadelphia (11-5) (clinched playoff berth)
#6 Buffalo (10-6)#6 LA Rams (9-7) (clinched playoff berth)
#7 Indianapolis (9-7)#7 Green Bay (8-8)

Alright so what do we have left to determine? Four divisions still up for grabs as the AFC East, AFC South, NFC East and NFC South still hasn’t determined their champion. Also, one Wild Card spot in the NFC and two in the AFC with still a few teams in the mix there. A lot can happen during this weekend so let’s get right to the scenarios.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore

  • Pittsburgh clinches a playoff spot under the following scenarios:
    • A win AND either a Buffalo loss OR a Jacksonville loss/tie
    • A win AND an Indianapolis tie
    • A tie AND two of Indianapolis, Jacksonville, or Houston lose
    • Jacksonville loses AND Denver wins AND either Indianapolis or Houston lose
  • Pittsburgh is eliminated under the following scenarios:
    • A Jacksonville win AND a Buffalo win/tie AND either an Indianapolis OR Houston win
    • A loss/tie AND either a Jacksonville win/tie OR an Indianapolis tie
    • A loss AND a Denver loss/tie

Houston at Indianapolis

  • Indianapolis clinches the AFC South with (a win AND a Jacksonville loss/tie) OR (a tie AND a Jacksonville loss)
  • Houston clinches the AFC South with a win AND a Jacksonville loss/tie
  • Indianapolis clinches a playoff spot with a win OR (a tie AND a Pittsburgh loss/tie)
  • Houston clinches a playoff spot wth a win OR (a tie AND a Jacksonville loss AND a Pittsburgh loss/tie)
  • Houston is eliminated with a loss OR (a tie AND either a Jacksonville win/tie OR a Pittsburgh win)
  • Indianapolis is eliminated with a loss OR (a tie AND a Jacksonville win/tie AND a Pittsburgh win)

Jacksonville at Tennessee

  • Jacksonville clinches the AFC South with a win OR (a tie and an Indianapolis tie)
  • Jacksonville clinches a playoff spot with (a tie AND a Pittsburgh loss/tie) OR (a Pittsburgh loss AND a Denver loss/tie AND either Houston OR Indianapolis loses)
  • Jacksonville is eliminated with (a tie AND a Pittsburgh win AND either a Houston or Indianapolis win) OR (a loss AND either a Pittsburgh win/tie OR a Denver win OR an Indianapolis tie)

Atlanta at New Orleans

  • Atlanta clinches the NFC South with a win AND a Tampa Bay loss
  • New Orleans clinches the NFC South with (a win AND a Tampa Bay loss/tie) OR (a tie AND a Tampa Bay loss)
  • New Orleans clinches a playoff spot with (a win AND a Green Bay loss/tie AND a Seattle loss/tie) OR (a tie AND a Green Bay loss AND a Seattle loss)
  • Atlanta is eliminated with a loss/tie OR a Tampa Bay win/tie
  • New Orleans is eliminated with a loss OR (a tie AND a Tampa Bay win/tie AND either a Green Bay or Seattle win/tie) OR (a Tampa Bay win AND either a Green Bay or Seattle win)

Minnesota at Detroit

  • Minnesota clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Seattle loss AND a Green Bay loss AND either a Tampa Bay OR New Orleans loss
  • Minnesota is eliminated with a loss/tie OR a Seattle win/tie OR a Green Bay win/tie OR Tampa Bay and New Orleans both winning or tying

Tampa Bay at Carolina

  • Tampa Bay clinches the NFC South with a win OR (a tie and a New Orleans loss/tie)
  • Tampa Bay clinches a playoff spot with a tie AND a Seattle loss AND a Green Bay loss/tie
  • Tampa Bay is eliminated with a loss OR (a tie AND a New Orleans win AND either a Seattle win/tie or a Green Bay win)

Chicago at Green Bay

  • Green Bay clinches a playoff spot with a win OR:
    • a tie AND (a Seattle loss/tie AND a New Orleans loss/tie) OR (a Seattle tie AND a Tampa Bay loss/tie) OR (a Seattle loss AND a Tampa Bay loss)
    • a loss AND a Seattle loss AND a Minnesota loss/tie AND either a Tampa Bay or New Orleans loss
  • Green Bay is eliminated with (a loss AND either (a Minnesota win or a Seattle win/tie or (a Tampa Bay win/tie and a New Orleans win/tie)) OR a tie AND either (a Seattle win or (a Tampa Bay win and a New Orleans win) or (a Seattle loss AND a New Orleans win AND a Tampa Bay tie)

Philadelphia at NY Giants

  • Philadelphia clinches the NFC East with (a win AND a Dallas loss/tie) OR (a tie AND a Dallas loss)

Dallas at Washington

  • Dallas clinches the NFC East with a win OR (a tie and a Philadelphia tie) OR a Philadelphia loss

Seattle at Arizona

  • Seattle clinches a playoff spot with a win AND a Green Bay loss AND either a New Orleans or Tampa Bay loss/tie) OR (a win AND a Green Bay loss/tie)
  • Seattle is eliminated with a loss OR (a tie AND a New Orleans win AND a Tampa Bay win) OR (a tie AND a Green Bay tie) OR a Green Bay win

Buffalo at Miami

  • Buffalo clinches the AFC East with a win
  • Miami clinches the AFC East with a win OR a tie
  • Buffalo clinches a playoff spot with a tie OR a Pittsburgh loss/tie OR a Jacksonville loss/tie OR an Indianapolis tie
  • Buffalo is eliminated with a loss AND one of the following three scenarios:
    • a Jacksonville win AND a Houston win AND a Pittsburgh loss/tie
    • a Jacksonville win AND an Indianapolis win AND a Pittsburgh loss/tie
    • a Pittsubrgh win AND an Indianapolis tie
    • a Jacksonville loss/tie AND a Pittsburgh win

If there is a tie….in almost any game….this is going to become a mess. Although it does become super interesting if that is the case and I do love chaos.

I was going to do tables to show where teams could land based on the scenarios above (obviously leaving ties out) but the NFC one alone would be insane. Viewing it on a cell phone would be impossible. Hell, viewing it on a wide-screen TV might be difficult. So I will not bother with that. Instead, I will do a seeding breakdown like I did last year. I will not include ties here. Here are the seeding scenarios.

AFC

#1 seed

  • Baltimore locked in

#2 seed

  • Miami – win
  • Buffalo – win

#3 seed

  • Kansas City locked in

#4 seed

  • Jacksonville – win
  • Indianapolis – win AND Jacksonville loss
  • Houston – win AND Jacksonville loss

#5 seed

  • Cleveland locked in

#6 seed

  • Miami – loss
  • Buffalo – loss AND Pittsburgh loss AND Jacksonville loss
  • Indianapolis – win AND Jacksonville win AND Buffalo loss
  • Houston – win AND Jacksonville win AND Buffalo loss
  • Pittsburgh – win AND Jacksonville loss AND Buffalo loss

#7 seed

  • Buffalo – loss AND (Jacksonville win AND Pittsburgh loss AND either Houston or Indianapolis loss) OR (Jacksonville loss AND Pittsburgh win)
  • Indianapolis – win AND Jacksonville win AND Buffalo win
  • Pittsburgh – dog’s breakfast (win AND Buffalo win AND Jacksonville loss) OR (win AND Buffalo loss AND Jacksonville win AND either Houston OR Indianapolis win) OR (loss AND Jacksonville loss AND Denver win AND either Houston OR Indianapolis win)
  • Jacksonville – loss AND Pittsburgh loss AND Denver loss AND either Houston OR Indianapolis loss
  • Houston – win AND Jacksonville win AND Buffalo win

NFC

#1 seed

  • San Francisco locked in

#2 seed

  • Dallas – win OR (loss AND Philadelphia loss AND Detroit loss)
  • Philadelphia – win AND Dallas loss
  • Detroit – win AND Dallas loss AND Philadelphia loss

#3 seed

  • Dallas – loss AND Philadelphia loss AND Detroit win
  • Detroit – loss OR Dallas win OR Philadelphia win

#4 seed

  • Tampa Bay – win
  • New Orleans – win AND Tampa Bay loss
  • Atlanta – win AND Tampa Bay loss

#5 seed

  • Philadelphia – loss OR Dallas win
  • Dallas – loss AND Philadelphia win

#6 seed

  • Green Bay – win AND LA Rams loss
  • LA Rams – win OR Green Bay loss

#7 seed

  • Green Bay – (win AND LA Rams win) OR (loss AND Seattle loss AND Minnesota loss AND either Tampa Bay OR New Orleans loss)
  • Minnesota – win AND Seattle loss AND Green Bay loss AND either Tampa Bay OR New Orleans loss
  • New Orleans – win AND Tampa Bay win AND Green Bay loss AND Seattle loss
  • LA Rams – loss AND Green Bay win
  • Seattle – win AND Green Bay loss

Holy shit we are in for one hell of a weekend of American Professional Football. I really don’t need to say this but enjoy the games everyone!

Remember when this used to be the end? The Week 17 NFL TV Schedule

It wasn’t long ago that Week 17 was the ultimate week. So much on the line. Playoff spots gained or lost. First round byes on the line. Entire seasons on the brink. Fantastic stuff.

Now, Week 17 is the penultimate week of the regular season. With the seventeenth game added to the regular season, it meant that Week 18 had to be added. My guess is Week 19 will be added soon enough to give each team two byes during the season and push the Super Bowl to around Valentine’s Day.

But just because this isn’t the final week doesn’t mean this isn’t a huge week! So let’s get to the schedule!

American Networks

Miami at Baltimore1:00Seattle, Spokane, Minneapolis, Detroit, Cleveland
New England at Buffalo1:00Buffalo, Rochester, Watertown, Burlington, Boston, Presque Isle
LA Rams at NY Giants1:00Rochester, Watertown, Burlington
Pittsburgh at Seattle4:05Tacoma, Seattle, Spokane, Minneapolis, Detroit, Buffalo, Boston, Presque Isle
Cincinnati at Kansas City4:25All affiliates

Canadian Networks

New England at Buffalo1:00Northern Ontario, Kitchener, Toronto, Ottawa, Montreal, Atlantic
Miami at Baltimore1:00Vancouver, Alberta, Saskatchewan, WinnipegAll affiliates (except Vancouver Island & Alberta)
San Francisco at Washington1:00Vancouver Island, AlbertaTSN1, TSN4, TSN5
New Orleans at Tampa Bay1:00TSN+
Pittsburgh at Seattle4:05Vancouver, AlbertaTSN1, TSN4, TSN5
Cincinnati at Kansas City4:25All affiliates (except Vancouver & Alberta)

Primetime Games

NY Jets at ClevelandThursday, 8:15, Amazon Prime, ABC Cleveland, CTV2, TSN 1/4/+
Detroit at DallasSaturday, 8:15, ABC, CTV, TSN 1/5
Green Bay at MinnesotaSunday, 8:15, NBC, CTV, TSN 1/3/4/+

New Year’s Notes and Thoughts

  • There are games upcoming that you will not be able to see if you do not have Sunday Ticket and/or RedZone. They are as follows:
    • Las Vegas at Indianapolis
    • Carolina at Jacksonville
    • Atlanta at Chicago
    • Arizona at Philadelphia
    • Tennessee at Houston
    • LA Chargers at Denver
  • Now this is some horseshit right here. Six games? SIX? That’s insane. And that’s after TSN decides to put a different game on TSN+ for some variety. I don’t get it. Not saying many of these games are worth watching but if you are trying to push people to order Sunday Ticket or RedZone, you may be succeeding. Or you may be pushing them to go the route I took that I will never come back from, IPTV. Either one, congratulations assholes.
  • No Monday Night Football this week as that would go up against the College Football Playoff semi-finals and even the NFL knows when to take a step back. What does that mean? We have the game essentially being moved to Saturday night. And it is a massive one. Lions-Cowboys in what could be an NFC Championship preview.
  • I don’t know how many people can even get ABC out of Cleveland so I listed it here. UPDATE: No one can but there are some who can get it out of Toledo. How about that? You learn something new every day.

Things are getting very interesting. It’s the second-last playoff picture of the season:

AFCNFC
#1 Baltimore (12-3) (clinched playoff spot)#1 San Francisco (11-4) (clinched NFC West)
#2 Miami (11-4) (clinched playoff spot)#2 Philadelphia (11-4) (clinched playoff spot)
#3 Kansas City (9-6)#3 Detroit (11-4) (clinched NFC North)
#4 Jacksonville (8-7)#4 Tampa Bay (8-7)
Wild Cards:Wild Cards:
#5 Cleveland (10-5)#5 Dallas (10-5) (clinched playoff spot)
#6 Buffalo (9-6)#6 LA Rams (8-7)
#7 Indianapolis/Houston/Pittsburgh/Cincinnati (8-7)#7 Seattle (8-7)

Look at the ridiculous logjam in the AFC. So many teams for, well, still quite a few spots. The Wild Card race is going to be insane and will require some logic puzzle-style explanations. The NFC is not much different even though it doesn’t look like it. There are 4 teams just a game back of the Bucs, Rams and Seahawks. Hell, even the Bears are technically still in it. Yeah it’s this crazy.

Before we get to the clinching scenarios, here is your updated list of eliminated teams (in order of draft position):

  • Carolina
  • Arizona
  • Washington
  • New England
  • NY Giants
  • LA Chargers
  • Tennessee
  • NY Jets

Just a reminder that the Bears have the Panthers pick because the Panthers’ front office are idiots.

Now it’s time for the clinching scenarios and, as per usual, I will not include ties until the final weekend of the regular season.

First Round Bye and Home Field Advantage

  • San Francisco clinches with a win AND a Philadelphia loss AND a Detroit loss
  • Baltimore clinches with a win

Division Title

  • Philadelphia clinches the NFC East with a win AND a Dallas loss
  • Tampa Bay clinches the NFC South with a win
  • Baltimore clinches the AFC North with a win OR a Cleveland loss
  • Miami clinches the AFC East with a win OR a Buffalo loss
  • Kansas City clinches the AFC West with a win OR (a Denver loss AND a Las Vegas loss)
  • Jacksonville clinches the AFC South with a win AND an Indianapolis loss AND a Houston loss

Playoff Berth

  • LA Rams clinch a playoff berth with a win AND a Seattle loss
  • Cleveland clinches a playoff berth with a win OR a Pittsburgh loss OR a Buffalo loss OR a Jacksonville loss OR (a Houston loss AND an Indianapolis loss)
  • Buffalo clinches with a win AND (a Pittsburgh loss AND a Cincinnati loss) OR (a Pittsburgh loss AND a Jacksonville loss) OR (a Pittsburgh loss AND an Indianapolis loss AND a Houston loss) OR (a Cincinnati loss AND a Jacksonville loss) OR (a Cincinnati loss AND an Indianapolis loss AND a Houston loss)

Elimination

  • Minnesota is eliminated with a loss AND a Seattle win AND an LA Rams win
  • Green Bay is eliminated with a loss AND (a Seattle win OR an LA Rams win OR (a New Orleans win AND an Atlanta win AND an Arizona win AND a Dallas win AND a Washington win AND a Cincinnati win AND a Cleveland win AND an Indianapolis win AND an Jacksonville win AND a Denver win))
  • Chicago is eliminated with a loss OR (a Seattle win AND an LA Rams win) OR (a Seattle win AND a Green Bay win) OR (a Seattle win AND a Minnesota win) OR (an LA Rams win AND a Green Bay win) OR (an LA Rams win AND a Minnesota win)
  • New Orleans is eliminated with a loss
  • Atlanta is eliminated with a Tampa Bay win AND (a loss) OR (an LA Rams win AND a Seattle win)
  • Pittsburgh is eliminated with a loss AND a Buffalo win AND an Indianapolis win AND (a Houston win AND a Denver loss) OR (a Houston win AND a Jacksonville loss AND a Kansas City win) OR (a Jacksonville win AND a Denver loss)
  • Cincinnati is eliminated with a win AND a Pittsburgh win AND a Buffalo win
  • Houston is eliminated with a loss AND an Indianapolis win AND a Jacksonville win AND (a Buffalo win) OR (a Cincinnati win AND a Pittsburgh loss AND a Denver loss)
  • Las Vegas is eliminated with a loss
  • Denver is eliminated with a loss OR (a Kansas City win AND a Buffalo win AND a Pittsburgh win) OR (a Kansas City win AND a Buffalo win AND a Houston win AND an Indianapolis win AND a Jacksonville loss) OR (a Kansas City win AND a Houston win AND an Indianapolis win AND a Jacksonville loss AND a Pittsburgh loss)

Alright, should be a fun few days of football. Chances are this will be my final post of the season so I hope each and every one of you have a happy New Year! See you all in 2024 and, as always, enjoy the games!