College Football

Updated Bowl Projections as of 9:00pm Saturday Night

Alright it’s the start of me updating bowl projections multiple times before the final bowl pairings are announced.  So if you want to keep updated, keep looking here for the latest post.  Here we go (notes at the end):

Sugar Bowl CFP Poll #1 vs. CFP Poll #4 Clemson vs. Wisconsin
Rose Bowl CFP Poll #2 vs. CFP Poll #3 Oklahoma vs. Georgia


Peach Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large Auburn vs. UCF
Orange Bowl ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/Notre Dame Miami vs. Alabama
Fiesta Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large USC vs. Ohio State
Cotton Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large Washington vs. Penn State


Citrus Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten/ACC LSU vs. Northwestern
Outback Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten Mississippi State vs. Michigan State
Liberty Bowl SEC vs. Big XII/American Missouri vs. Memphis
TaxSlayer Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten/ACC South Carolina vs. Michigan
Arizona Bowl MWC vs. Sun Belt Wyoming vs. New Mexico State
Music City Bowl SEC vs. ACC/Big Ten Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech
Sun Bowl Pac-12 vs. ACC Arizona State vs. Louisville
Belk Bowl SEC vs. ACC Utah* vs. NC State
Alamo Bowl Pac-12 vs. Big XII Washington State vs. TCU
Holiday Bowl Big Ten vs. Pac-12 Iowa vs. Stanford
Camping World Bowl Big XII vs. ACC Iowa State vs. Notre Dame
Military Bowl ACC vs. American Virginia vs. West Virginia*
Texas Bowl SEC vs. Big XII Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State
Foster Farms Bowl Big Ten vs. Pac-12 Purdue vs. UCLA
Pinstripe Bowl Big Ten vs. ACC Texas Tech* vs. Boston College
Independence Bowl SEC/Conference USA vs. ACC/American Florida Atlantic vs. Florida State
Cactus Bowl Pac-12/MWC vs. Big XII/MWC Oregon vs. Kansas State
Quick Lane Bowl Big Ten/MAC vs. ACC/MAC Toledo vs. Duke
Heart of Dallas Bowl Big XII vs. Big Ten Texas vs. UTSA*
Hawaii Bowl MWC vs. American Fresno State vs. Houston
Dollar General Bowl MAC vs. Sun Belt Northern Illinois vs. Troy
Armed Forces Bowl Army vs. Conference USA Army vs. Southern Miss
Birmingham Bowl SEC/ACC vs. American/ACC Wake Forest vs. USF
Idaho Potato Bowl MWC vs. MAC Colorado State vs. Central Michigan
Bahamas Bowl Conference USA vs. MAC UAB vs. Ohio
Gasparilla Bowl Conference USA/ACC vs. American/ACC Western Kentucky vs. Navy
Frisco Bowl American vs. Sun Belt SMU vs. Appalachian State
Boca Raton Bowl American vs. Conference USA Temple vs. Middle Tennessee
Camellia Bowl MAC vs. Sun Belt Akron vs. Georgia State
New Mexico Bowl MWC vs. Conference USA San Diego State vs. North Texas
Las Vegas Bowl Pac-12 vs. MWC Arizona vs. Boise State
Cure Bowl American vs. Sun Belt Buffalo* vs. Arkansas State
New Orleans Bowl Conference USA vs. Sun Belt FIU vs. UL-Lafayette

A few notes on this:

  • UCF has won the American and clinched the Group of Five New Year’s Six spot.  It is confirmed to be the Peach Bowl.
  • Memphis will be playing at home in the Liberty Bowl for the first time.  They get a Big XII opponent so they will also get their chance to show their wares against a Power Five team.
  • New Mexico State gets bowl eligible today with a win over South Alabama.  I have now replaced Marshall with the Arkansas State in the Cure Bowl and moved the Aggies to the Arizona Bowl (which they are almost a lock to go to).
  • Four 6-6 teams could be out (according to my projections).  Right now they would be Utah State, Western Michigan, Marshall and Louisiana Tech.
  • I expect about 10,000 changes before this is all finalized late tomorrow afternoon (which I will be updating mostly away from home…great).

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