College Football

Finally some bowl projections that should be close to correct….right?

We’ve played this game before.  Meaning I’ve played this game before.  Hell, last year I am sure I changed about 40 teams around from my bowl projections that were done THE NIGHT BEFORE.  Which is fine.  Makes Selection Sunday more intriguing.  Unfortunately I will be in and out of the house that day so updating could be very interesting.  I will try to keep up as best I can.  Anyway, let’s get to the current bowl projections from moi.

Sugar Bowl CFP Poll #1 vs. CFP Poll #4 Clemson vs. Wisconsin
Rose Bowl CFP Poll #2 vs. CFP Poll #3 Oklahoma vs. Georgia

Remember this is how I feel the FINAL bowl games will look like that.  Three of these are easy: Clemson, Oklahoma and Wisconsin to all win their respective conference championships.  I think Georgia will get revenge on Auburn and win the SEC Championship.  So yes, no Bama.  To be honest, unless Oklahoma loses, I don’t see a scenario where the Tide should be included in the CFP.  If Miami beats Clemson they are in (in my opinion).  If Ohio State beats Wisconsin they are in (in my opinion).  So there you go.  Watch all four of my picks lose and we have another mini-round of chaos before The Committee tries desperately to not drink themselves to death over this.

And again, this affects the next set of picks which are the New Year’s Six selections.

Peach Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large Auburn vs. Memphis
Orange Bowl ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/Notre Dame Miami vs. Alabama
Fiesta Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large USC vs. Ohio State
Cotton Bowl CFP At-Large vs. CFP At-Large Washington vs. Penn State

I still think Memphis is winning the American.  Basically here, the conversation comes down to Washington, Notre Dame, and Penn State for the final two spots (since I believe USC will win the Pac-12 title).  I think Washington’s win over Washington State will put it just above the Irish and Notre Dame’s two losses were pretty bad compared to Penn State’s losses.  Again, watch The Committee put in Notre Dame and TCU and screw all my picks up.

Alright time for the car wreck portion of our show, it’s the rest of the bowls and how they will play out.

Citrus Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten/ACC LSU vs. Northwestern
Outback Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten Mississippi State vs. Michigan State
Liberty Bowl SEC vs. Big XII/American Missouri vs. West Virginia
TaxSlayer Bowl SEC vs. Big Ten/ACC South Carolina vs. Michigan
Arizona Bowl MWC vs. Sun Belt Wyoming vs. Arkansas State
Music City Bowl SEC vs. ACC/Big Ten Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech
Sun Bowl Pac-12 vs. ACC Arizona State vs. Louisville
Belk Bowl SEC vs. ACC Utah* vs. NC State
Alamo Bowl Pac-12 vs. Big XII Washington State vs. TCU
Holiday Bowl Big Ten vs. Pac-12 Iowa vs. Stanford
Camping World Bowl Big XII vs. ACC Iowa State vs. Notre Dame
Military Bowl ACC vs. American Virginia vs. UCF
Texas Bowl SEC vs. Big XII Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State
Foster Farms Bowl Big Ten vs. Pac-12 Purdue vs. UCLA
Pinstripe Bowl Big Ten vs. ACC Texas Tech* vs. Boston College
Independence Bowl SEC/Conference USA vs. ACC/American Florida Atlantic vs. Florida State
Cactus Bowl Pac-12/MWC vs. Big XII/MWC Oregon vs. Kansas State
Quick Lane Bowl Big Ten/MAC vs. ACC/MAC Toledo vs. Duke
Heart of Dallas Bowl Big XII vs. Big Ten Texas vs. UTSA*
Hawaii Bowl MWC vs. American Fresno State vs. Houston
Dollar General Bowl MAC vs. Sun Belt Northern Illinois vs. Troy
Armed Forces Bowl Army vs. Conference USA Army vs. Southern Miss
Birmingham Bowl SEC/ACC vs. American/ACC Wake Forest vs. USF
Idaho Potato Bowl MWC vs. MAC Colorado State vs. Central Michigan
Bahamas Bowl Conference USA vs. MAC UAB vs. Ohio
Gasparilla Bowl Conference USA/ACC vs. American/ACC Western Kentucky vs. Navy
Frisco Bowl American vs. Sun Belt SMU vs. Appalachian State
Boca Raton Bowl American vs. Conference USA Temple vs. Middle Tennessee
Camellia Bowl MAC vs. Sun Belt Akron vs. Georgia State
New Mexico Bowl MWC vs. Conference USA San Diego State vs. North Texas
Las Vegas Bowl Pac-12 vs. MWC Arizona vs. Boise State
Cure Bowl American vs. Sun Belt Buffalo* vs. Marshall*
New Orleans Bowl Conference USA vs. Sun Belt FIU vs. UL-Lafayette

A few notes on this:

  • Well that was quite the change.  I believe I kept three bowl games the same.  Yikes.  There were probably a few I didn’t have to change but once I got going I couldn’t stop!
  • The SEC won’t even be able to fill their primary tie-ins with one bowl left out of the mix.  I have a feeling it could be the Belk Bowl but any one of the Outback, Liberty, TaxSlayer, Music City, Texas, and aforementioned Belk Bowls could lose an SEC team which may hamper attendance depending on who they invite instead.
  • Because of passport issues, the Bahamas Bowl always selects their teams a week or so in advance.  This year, Ohio and UAB are invited to play there.  Good for UAB.  They get a national platform game.  Unfortunately it’s on a Friday at 12:30.  That is something I hate about bowl season.
  • Texas-UTSA still in play but I have moved it down to the Heart of Dallas Bowl.  I honestly think they would get way more people in attendance with this than with a Big XII team playing a Big Ten team.
  • As of right now I have the Cure Bowl not getting either of their tie-ins.  This is where I believe tie-ins are a problem.  Not having at-large bids hurts some of these bowl games because now they are usually having to pick from the teams left over.  In this case it was Buffalo and Marshall.
  • Three 6-6 teams could be out (according to my projections).  Right now they would be Utah State, Western Michigan, and Louisiana Tech.
  • Notre Dame gets into the ACC bowl tie-in mix as long as they have at least one more win than a team they would replace.  Which they easily will.  It’s almost certain the Camping World Bowl, which gets the top ACC pick not in the CFP or NY6, would at least reach out to the Irish to see if they would want to play there.  Having them play Iowa State (as you see above) could be a good get.
  • UL-Lafayette still has to win to get in as does Florida State this coming weekend.  Same thing with New Mexico State but I don’t think they will win.  If they do, it’s four teams that would be out.  Crazy.

Well now we have to wait for college football.  Or football of any kind.  Thursday Night Football of course on Thursday and then the Pac-12 Championship on Friday night…at 5:00 local time in Santa Clara.  That stadium is going to be half empty.

Enjoy the rest of your week everyone!

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