College Football

Bowl games, New Year’s Six, College Football Playoff, National Championship – All rolled into one neat, little package

new-years-six

OK maybe the words ‘neat’ and ‘little’ aren’t used totally correctly here.

It’s time for the postseason predictions (figured one phrase to rule them all was the way to go here).  All the shit above will be in this post along with my usual irreverently humourous commentary….OK fine, humourous commentary that happens every so often.  There.  Happy?

Let’s start with the top of the pyramid so to speak: the College Football Playoff.  Here are what I think it will look like with the rankings I believe these teams will have going into the semi-final matchups:

January 1, 2018 8:45 Sugar Bowl #2 Alabama #3 Ohio State
January 1, 2018 5:00 Rose Bowl #1 USC #4 Wisconsin

I think I am much closer to most of the experts’ picks for the top four than I was last year.  That was an abomination and we should never speak of it again.  USC is probably the easiest call here after running through the Pac-12 unscathed.  Bama is another easy call.  I think they will lose the Iron Bowl but it will be their only loss and can anyone see them below #1 until that happens?  Nope.  So they’re in.  Then the fun begins.  I have tOSU winning the Big Ten over Wisconsin which puts them in.  But, for the first time ever, I will have two teams from the same conference in.  Wisconsin, going in undefeated, should be way above whoever the Big XII or ACC champ would be in the CFP Rankings going into Conference Championship week.  So unless they are completely blown out of the water (which has happened before I know), I can’t see them dropping below #4.  Should be interesting times for the College Football Playoff Committee.  The alcohol bill alone for that group must be astounding.

Now on to our friends who have been granted access to the New Year’s Six Bowl Game Extravaganza of sorts:

January 1, 2018 12:30 Peach Bowl #12 Clemson #5 Florida
December 30, 2017 8:00 Orange Bowl #7 Florida State #9 Tennessee
December 30, 2017 4:00 Fiesta Bowl #11 Washington #6 Penn State
December 29, 2017 8:30 Cotton Bowl #8 Oklahoma #10 USF

Hoo boy I can see a lot of people not being too impressed with this.  So I have, in my Top 9 going into the bowl games, three teams from the SEC and three from the Big Ten.  All I can do is shrug my shoulders and say this is the way I feel it will play out.  The SEC has had something like this every so often for years and the B1G has played its way back into this type of situation.  Not my fault the Big XII will be a shitshow and the ACC members will be too busy beating each other for one team to emerge unharmed.

Anyway, on to a bit of analysis here.  We will start with Florida, who may be ranked one or two spots too high but would get the Peach Bowl spot.  Why aren’t they getting the Orange Bowl spot?  Because Florida State, as ACC champ, would go there automatically and they won’t have a FSU-UF rematch.  So Tennessee slots in as the Noles’ opponent.  All the other bowl spots are at-large in the NY6 so here we go with this (although this is subject to varying opinion).  The Fiesta would probably want a Pac-12 team if they can help it and would grab Washington.  The Cotton Bowl would salivate at the chance to get Oklahoma there.  The Peach Bowl would prefer an ACC team and Clemson fits the bill.  With Penn State and USF (the Group of Five rep) left, it just comes down to who picks first.  I believe the Fiesta would get their pick before the Cotton takes what’s left and would get the Nittany Lions instead of the Bulls.  Still, if I am right, there are some tasty matchups there.

Now for the rest of our bowl matchups:

January 1, 2018 1:00 Citrus Bowl #14 Auburn #13 Northwestern
January 1, 2018 12:00 Outback Bowl Georgia #15 Michigan
December 30, 2017 12:30 Liberty Bowl #16 LSU Kansas State
December 30, 2017 12:00 TaxSlayer Bowl Texas A&M Nebraska
December 29, 2017 5:30 Arizona Bowl Utah State Arkansas State
December 29, 2017 4:30 Music City Bowl Mississippi State Louisville
December 29, 2017 3:00 Sun Bowl Utah Notre Dame
December 29, 2017 1:00 Belk Bowl #22 BYU Georgia Tech
December 28, 2017 9:00 Alamo Bowl #19 UCLA #17 Oklahoma State
December 28, 2017 9:00 Holiday Bowl Indiana #21 Stanford
December 28, 2017 5:15 Camping World Bowl #20 TCU #18 Miami
December 28, 2017 1:30 Military Bowl North Carolina Houston
December 27, 2017 9:00 Texas Bowl Arkansas Texas
December 27, 2017 8:30 Foster Farms Bowl Minnesota #23 Oregon
December 27, 2017 5:15 Pinstripe Bowl Michigan State #24 Pittsburgh
December 27, 2017 1:30 Independence Bowl Western Kentucky NC State
December 26, 2017 9:00 Cactus Bowl Colorado Baylor
December 26, 2017 5:15 Quick Lane Bowl Iowa Virginia Tech
December 26, 2017 1:30 Heart of Dallas Bowl West Virginia* UTSA
December 24, 2017 8:30 Hawaii Bowl Colorado State Tulsa
December 23, 2017 7:00 Dollar General Bowl #25 Toledo Appalachian State
December 23, 2017 3:30 Armed Forces Bowl Army Missouri*
December 23, 2017 12:00 Birmingham Bowl Vanderbilt* Memphis
December 22, 2017 4:00 Idaho Potato Bowl Wyoming Western Michigan
December 22, 2017 12:30 Bahamas Bowl Louisiana Tech Ohio
December 21, 2017 8:00 St. Petersburg Bowl Middle Tennessee Navy
December 20, 2017 8:00 Frisco Bowl SMU Troy
December 19, 2017 7:00 Boca Raton Bowl Temple Old Dominion
December 16, 2017 8:00 Camellia Bowl Miami-OH Idaho
December 16, 2017 4:30 New Mexico Bowl Boise State Southern Miss
December 16, 2017 3:30 Las Vegas Bowl Washington State San Diego State
December 16, 2017 2:30 Cure Bowl UCF* Georgia Southern*
December 16, 2017 1:00 New Orleans Bowl Marshall UL-Lafayette*

Sweet Baby Jesus, that’s a lot of bowl games.  At this point, college football is college football.  I will take everything I can get.  Once bowl season comes around I will be less inclined to think this way but at this point…..FOOTBAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAW!  Alright, some notes on these bowl games:

  • The Citrus will have the two best teams not to make the New Year’s Six in Auburn and Northwestern. Yes, Northwestern.
  • Since the SEC would have three teams in the CFP/NY6, there is almost no way they can fill their bowl slots. The Independence Bowl slot is easy since Conference USA can fill in if need be.  In the case of the Belk, I figured it made sense to put BYU in since they have no tie-in anywhere this season.
  • Some of the better matchups include:
    • Utah-Notre Dame in the Sun Bowl
    • TCU-Miami in the Camping World Bowl
    • Arkansas-Texas in the Texas Bowl
    • WKU-NC State in the Independence Bowl
    • Toledo-Appalachian State in the Dollar General Bowl
    • Wazzu-SDSU in the Las Vegas Bowl
  • I have six bowl slots not being able to be filled by bowl-eligible teams. I have denoted them with asterisks.  They are all 5-7 teams filling these slots.  I have no idea which schools have smarter students so I took a guess.  I also tried to keep conference bowl tie-ins in mind when filling these games up although last year it seemed completely random (which is why I think they should reduce the amount of bowl tie-ins, thus freeing up more at-large spots).

Oh yeah I guess I should say who I think will win.  Well, I think Bama will have another disappointment in the CFP by losing to the Buckeyes and USC will steamroll Wisconsin since one CFP semi-final game has to be a blowout.  I think USC gets the duke in the National Championship game, which would be their first title in over a decade.  Clay Helton would be hailed as the next Pete Carroll and Sam Darnold would make NFL teams want to seriously tank to get him next season.  Fun times!

Next up will be the Coaching Hot Seat post which I am usually pretty proud of since it seems to be one of my more accurate prediction posts.  I will follow that up with one of my least accurate posts historically, my Heisman ballot.  I need to throw an NFL preview in here sometime over the next two weeks.  Then finally, next week will be the first schedule post of the season.  Rejoice college football fans as we are NINE DAYS AWAY!  We’ve made it to single digits.  Now we just need to have those pesky specialty pack channels to appear somewhere on the guide (something Rogers customers don’t have to deal with it sounds like).

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