College Football

Updated Bowl Projections (Sunday morning edition)

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After a not-as-crazy-as-we-thought-it-would-be final weekend in college football, the lack of craziness in the games has set up a whole crapload of chaos for The Committee which I assume is on its third case of Red Bull as we speak (since the Keurig probably died four hours ago).  You would have to pay me a lot of money to have this job right now.  If I were them, I’d have the plane tickets ready for some time tonight to take them ANYWHERE outside the United States.

So after all, that has happened, here are my bowl projections as of 7:30 this morning (Eastern Standard Time…I don’t know why I say that since I am sure very few people who read this blog reside elsewhere but you never know):

January 4, 2015 9:00 GoDaddy Bowl Northern Illinois Arkansas State*
January 3, 2015 1:00 Birmingham Bowl Memphis Arkansas
January 2, 2015 10:15 Cactus Bowl Oklahoma State Washington
January 2, 2015 6:45 Alamo Bowl Kansas State UCLA
January 2, 2015 3:20 TaxSlayer Bowl Iowa LSU
January 2, 2015 12:00 Armed Forces Bowl North Carolina Houston
January 1, 2015 8:30 Sugar Bowl Alabama Ohio State
January 1, 2015 5:00 Rose Bowl Oregon Florida State
January 1, 2015 1:00 Outback Bowl Florida Nebraska
January 1, 2015 12:30 Cotton Bowl TCU Ole Miss
January 1, 2015 12:30 Citrus Bowl Wisconsin Georgia
December 31, 2014 8:00 Orange Bowl Georgia Tech Michigan State
December 31, 2014 4:00 Fiesta Bowl Arizona Boise State
December 31, 2014 12:30 Peach Bowl Baylor Mississippi State
December 30, 2014 10:00 Foster Farms Bowl Illinois USC
December 30, 2014 6:45 Belk Bowl Notre Dame Texas A&M
December 30, 2014 3:00 Music City Bowl Duke Missouri
December 29, 2014 9:00 Texas Bowl Auburn Texas
December 29, 2014 5:30 Russell Athletic Bowl Clemson Oklahoma
December 29, 2014 2:00 Liberty Bowl Tennessee West Virginia
December 27, 2014 8:00 Holiday Bowl Minnesota Arizona State
December 27, 2014 4:30 Pinstripe Bowl Pittsburgh Penn State
December 27, 2014 4:00 Independence Bowl Miami South Carolina
December 27, 2014 2:00 Sun Bowl Louisville Utah
December 27, 2014 1:00 Military Bowl Virginia Tech East Carolina
December 26, 2014 8:00 Bitcoin Bowl NC State UCF
December 26, 2014 4:30 Quick Lane Bowl Boston College Rutgers
December 26, 2014 1:00 Heart of Dallas Bowl Maryland Louisiana Tech
December 24, 2014 8:00 Hawaii Bowl Rice Air Force
December 24, 2014 12:00 Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky Bowling Green
December 23, 2014 9:30 Poinsettia Bowl Navy* Utah State
December 23, 2014 6:00 Boca Raton Bowl Marshall Toledo
December 22, 2014 2:00 Miami Beach Bowl BYU* Cincinnati
December 20, 2014 9:15 Camellia Bowl Western Michigan South Alabama*
December 20, 2014 5:45 Idaho Potato Bowl Fresno State Central Michigan
December 20, 2014 3:30 Las Vegas Bowl Stanford Colorado State
December 20, 2014 2:20 New Mexico Bowl UTEP Nevada
December 20, 2014 11:00 New Orleans Bowl San Diego State Louisiana-Lafayette*

And, as promised, very few bowl selections have been made.  The only reason the Sun Belt made their selections early is…actually I don’t know.  Maybe they hate the state of Texas or think Dennis Franchione smells.  Either way, the Texas State Bobcats won’t be going bowling thanks to the fact that five bowl-eligible teams will be home for the holidays instead of practicing for a bowl game and missing family and friends.

With almost no bowl selections made, it makes for a March Madness selection committee type atmosphere going.  It’s actually pretty exciting.  I just wish either TSN made the selection process available on one of their five channels or that Bell or Rogers (or both) put it on their specialty pack since, you know, it’s an ESPN telecast.

As for the selections themselves, I have slotted Ohio State in at #4, just behind Florida State.  I think The Committee goofed by putting TCU at #3.  This means a LOT of people in Fort Worth are going to be very angry about five hours from now when they find out their team is only going to the Cotton Bowl instead of a College Football Playoff semi-final game.  If they had them at #4 going into yesterday’s games, then we wouldn’t have had as big an issue dropping them out.  This is why they should have NO rankings until the final (and only) ones.  Otherwise you get into this 1990’s AP poll-type bullshit (or BCS, take your pick) where a team drops inexplicably at or near the end of the season just because one team turned out to be more “deserving.”

Other little notes from this early projection:

  • I have Ole Miss grabbing the final New Year’s Six spot.  Boise State clinched last night, Georgia Tech slots into the Orange as the top remaining ACC team and Michigan State gets the other Orange spot as the best SEC or Big Ten team available.  Others in are TCU, Baylor, Arizona, and Mississippi State.
  • Notre Dame gets to be put in the ACC bowl selection, which is now tiered, which makes things a bit more confusing but, ultimately, probably will make for better bowl matchups (we hope).  I have them going to the Belk Bowl to play Texas A&M who will NOT play Texas in the Texas Bowl (pussies).
  • I believe only one bowl will have a spot that can’t be filled by a conference tie-in and that’s the Armed Forces Bowl.  Army did not qualify for the postseason and there are not enough Big XII teams available.  Right now I have North Carolina in this spot which is an odd spot for them to be.  The thing is, there will be only one Power Five conference team not slotted into a bowl and it will come from the ACC.  So not many choices really.
  • Along with Texas State, I believe Temple, Middle Tennessee, Ohio, and, unfortunately, UAB missing the postseason despite being bowl eligible.  With only one slot not able to be filled and an ACC team available, it makes it virtually impossible to invite either of these five teams to a bowl game.  If Oklahoma State had lost, it would have opened up another spot which would have made things much more interesting but they upset the Sooners in Bedlam (in an amazing game we didn’t get to see).

I am hoping to update this a few times throughout the day as info doesn’t trickle in but blows its way in with brute force.  As far as I know, this is how things will proceed today:

  • At 12:30, the College Football Playoff selections will be made.  The Rose and Sugar bowls will be filled which means we will know who the top four teams were and what their rankings were as well.
  • By 2:00, the rest of the New Year’s Six will be filled.
  • By 6:00, the rest of the bowl games will be selected.

I am guessing between 2:00 and 6:00 there will be a lot of info coming in at random times.  I will update as much as I possibly can.

Update: It seems that there is some confusion over whether the Armed Forces Bowl has some sort of a backup agreement with the MAC.  I don’t know why this should be confusing but it apparently is.  So there is a possibility Ohio would be put there.  Also, because it looks like Michigan State would get the Orange Bowl spot over an SEC team, they have to give up their Citrus Bowl spot to the ACC.  Meaning North Carolina would go into an ACC tie-in bowl and a Big Ten team, probably Illinois, would be left out.  So much to find out over the next few hours.

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