College Football

Updated Bowl Projections (after Saturday early games)

Here are the updated bowl projections after the early Saturday games:

New Mexico Bowl Arizona Boise State
Las Vegas Bowl Washington Fresno State
Idaho Potato Bowl UNLV Ball State
New Orleans Bowl UL-Lafayette* Tulane*
Beef O’Brady’s Bowl Buffalo North Texas
Hawaii Bowl San Jose State East Carolina
Little Caesar’s Pizza Bowl Pittsburgh Northern Illinois
Poinsettia Bowl San Diego State Washington State
Military Bowl Maryland Marshall*
Texas Bowl Michigan Texas Tech
Fight Hunger Bowl Oregon State BYU*
Pinstripe Bowl Notre Dame* Rutgers
Belk Bowl Georgia Tech Cincinnati*
Russell Athletic Bowl Miami Louisville*
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl Minnesota Texas
Armed Forces Bowl Utah State Navy*
Music City Bowl Vanderbilt Syracuse
Alamo Bowl Oklahoma UCLA
Holiday Bowl Kansas State Arizona State
AdvoCare Bowl Western Kentucky Boston College
Sun Bowl USC Virginia Tech
Liberty Bowl Ole Miss Rice*
Chick-fil-A Bowl Georgia Duke
Gator Bowl LSU Nebraska
Heart of Dallas Bowl North Carolina Middle Tennessee
Capital One Bowl South Carolina Wisconsin
Outback Bowl Missouri Iowa
Rose Bowl Michigan State Stanford
Fiesta Bowl Baylor* UCF
Sugar Bowl Auburn Oregon
Cotton Bowl Texas A&M Oklahoma State
Orange Bowl Clemson Alabama
BBVA Compass Bowl Mississippi State Houston
GoDaddy Bowl Bowling Green Arkansas State*
BCS National Championship Florida State Ohio State

Rice has just won the Conference USA championship so they have won the right to go to the Liberty Bowl which also changes where Marshall (who the Owls defeated) and East Carolina go.  Biggest story of the early games though is Oklahoma pulling out an amazing last-minute win over Oklahoma State to win Bedlam and cost the Pokes their BCS bid.  This means that the Texas-Baylor game on right now is the Big 12 Championship game.  Winner goes to the Fiesta Bowl and I project Baylor to narrowly beat the Horns to go to their first BCS bowl.  What this also does is prevent two Big XII teams from going to the BCS dance.  Who do I think now sneaks in?  How about Oregon?  And I cannot see the Sugar Bowl giving up a chance to get an Auburn-Oregon matchup in the final year of the BCS.

Update: Marshall has just accepted a bid to the Military Bowl.

Update #2: Baylor has defeated Texas and has won the Big 12 and the Fiesta Bowl bid.  Looks like Auburn will beat Missouri and, at the very least, go to the Sugar Bowl.

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